Experts forecast below-normal 2026 hurricane season. Here’s what to know
Colorado State University’s first annual hurricane forecast predicts a quieter-than-usual 2026 Atlantic season, driven by an expected shift to moderate-to-strong El Niño conditions. Still, forecasters warned that coastal residents should prepare regardless of predictions.
FULL STORY: What will 2026 hurricane season bring for South MS? Forecasters have an answer
Here are key takeaways:
• The outlook: “We anticipate that the 2026 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have somewhat below normal activity,” the CSU forecast says.
• Why El Niño matters: Current weak La Niña conditions are likely to transition to El Niño in the next few months. El Niño is expected to increase vertical wind shear in the tropical Atlantic, reducing the chances for powerful hurricanes to form.
• Key dates: Hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30, peaking Sept. 10, with most activity between mid-August and mid-October, according to the National Hurricane Center.
• Ocean temperatures: Sea-surface temperatures in the western tropical Atlantic are warmer than normal but slightly cooler in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
• The warning: Forecasters cautioned that “it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season” and urged thorough preparations every year regardless of predicted activity.
The summary points above were compiled with the help of AI tools and edited by journalists. The full story in the link at top was reported, written and edited entirely by journalists.
