A tropical disturbance known as Invest 99 continues to make its way over the Island of Cuba, but the chances it will become an organized storm with cyclonic activity has slightly decreased over the past 24 hours.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the disturbance has a 20 percent chance of organizing over the next 48 hours. This forecast is the same as it was on Friday. This is considered a low chance Invest 99 will organize.
The chance of Invest 99 becoming a tropical depression or stronger in the next five days has dropped from 40 percent to 30 percent.
However, Invest 99 is on the cusp of entering the Gulf Of Mexico, which the slow-moving storm is expected to do early next week. The environmental conditions in the Gulf could increase its chances of forming into a tropical depression that could strengthen to become Tropical Storm Hermine or even Hurricane Hermine.
Invest 99 is being pushed into the Gulf by an upper-level high pressure system. The system is expected to shift to the east and weaken.