Watching Invest 99: Will storm form in Gulf?

The possible courses Invest 99 could take if it becomes a tropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico.
The possible courses Invest 99 could take if it becomes a tropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico. Courtesy

No news is good news for people watching the disturbance known as Invest 99 near Cuba.

In fact, the chances of the disturbance becoming a tropical depression or greater have slightly decreased since Thursday.

“There’s really no change in the disturbance overnight,” said meteorologist Alek Krautmann of the National Weather Service in New Orleans. “It’s become less organized and there’s no real connective center with Invest 99.”

The disturbance is called an “invest” because it is investigated for potential cyclonic or tropical depression activity.

Krautmann said only time will tell what will become of the disturbance.

“It’s still expected to move into a more organized development but it’s still too early to know what it’s going to do,” he said. “It’s chances of development have slightly decreased.”

According to the National Hurricane Center, there’s a 30 percent or “low” chance that Invest 99 will develop into an organized formation over the next 48 hours. There’s a 60 percent or “medium” chance the formation will organize over the next five days, which is down from 80 percent on Wednesday.

Invest 99 is an area of low pressure extending from eastern Cuba northward to the central Bahamas. It is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. However, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development early next week when the system moves into the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Should the storm become organized, it could become a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Hermine.

The U.S. Air Force Hurricane Hunters flight scheduled for Friday to investigate the disturbance has been canceled.

Invest 99 isn’t the only disturbance weather experts are watching.

Tropical Storm Gaston is making its way across the mid-Atlantic but it is not expected to make landfall.

Also, a low pressure disturbance off the coast of Louisiana has only a 10 percent chance of organizing into a formation over the next five days.