Caribbean disturbance could bring a tropical system across South Mississippi

A weather disturbance in the Caribbean Sea has a 20 percent chance of turning into a tropical system and moving into the Gulf of Mexico this week, according to meteorologists

The National Hurricane Center reported its forecast on Monday.

Hurricane season starts June 1.

The development could be gradual. Even if it does not develop, heavy rain could stretch from Cuba to Florida.

The weather disturbance won't affect the Mississippi Coast until after Thursday, Harrison County Emergency Management Director Rupert Lacy said.

"After Thursday, depending on track and how quickly it moves, heavy rain could become a concern with the bulk of the rain likely late Friday and through the weekend," Lacy said.

Still, there's a chance of season thunderstorms because of the heat and moisture coming off the Gulf.

Rain in the forecast for the weekend could have an impact on the Conference USA Tournament being played at MGM Park in Biloxi this week. The baseball tournament runs Wednesday through Sunday.

Temperatures will be in the upper 80s by day through Friday, with overnight lows in the low 70s, the weather service says.

The hurricane center issued this statement Monday morning:

"Widespread cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and the Florida peninsula are associated with the interaction of a large upper-level low with a weak surface trough. While environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for development during the next couple of days, some gradual development is possible later this week while the system moves into the central or eastern Gulf of Mexico."

"As we move toward the hurricane season, this is your time to review your plans for you, your family and work," Lacy said.

Robin Fitzgerald can be reached at 228-896-2340 or @robincrimenews

2018 hurricane names

  • Alberto

  • Beryl

  • Chris

  • Debby

  • Ernesto

  • Florence

  • Gordon

  • Helene

  • Isaac

  • Joyce

  • Kirk

  • Leslie

  • Michael

  • Nadine

  • Oscar

  • Patty

  • Rafael

  • Sara

  • Tony

  • Valerie

  • William
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