The Potential Tropical Cyclone: Wednesday, Nov 13 update from the National Hurricane Center on latest developments
Article first published: Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2024, 4 p.m. ET
Article last updated: Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2024, 10 p.m. ET
The National Hurricane Center's 10 pm Wednesday advisory reported that the potential tropical cyclone is 215 miles east-northeast of Cabo Gracias A Dios On Nic hon Border and 380 miles east of Isla Guanaja Honduras, with maximum sustained wind of 30 mph. It’s moving at 9 mph to the west.
"The disturbance is expected to stall and meander near the north coast of Honduras late Friday and through the weekend." meteorologists observed. "The system is forecast to become a tropical storm on Thursday and continue strengthening, if it remains over water."
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Honduras has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Punta Sal eastward to the border with Nicaragua and for the Bay Islands.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for:
- Punta Castilla to the Honduras/Nicaragua Border
- The Bay Islands of Honduras
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:
- Punta Sal to the Honduras/Nicaragua Border
- The Bay Islands of Honduras
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:
- Honduras/Nicaragua Border to Puerto Cabezas
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere in Honduras, and in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:
RAINFALL: Through early next week, rainfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches with isolated storm totals around 30 inches area expected over northern Honduras. This rainfall will lead to widespread areas of life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides, especially along and near the Sierra La Esperanza.
Elsewhere across the rest of Honduras, Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, and western Nicaragua, Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with localized totals around 15 inches through early next week. This will result in areas of flash flooding, perhaps significant, along with the potential of mudslides.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205755.shtml? Rainqpf#contents
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by Friday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area and possible in the watch area beginning late Thursday.
STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near in areas of onshore winds along the northern coast of Honduras. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Source: National Hurricane Center
This story was originally published November 13, 2024 at 3:11 PM.