A potentially tropical system now has an 80% chance of developing over the next five days, with its projected path shifting east Thursday afternoon along the Florida coastline, the National Hurricane Center advised.
The storm’s likely path is still highly uncertain, but winds and rain would extend only as far as Alabama, based on NHC projections from 4 p.m. Thursday.
The widespread area of low pressure and rain called Invest 95 is still very unorganized, which makes it harder for forecasting models to predict. If the system develops into a tropical storm as expected, it will be called Humberto.
The storm system is expected to bring heavy rain and winds to portions of the northwestern Bahamas on Friday and Saturday and to portions of Florida’s east coast over the weekend.
An aircraft from the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters, based at Keesler Air Force Base in Biloxi, was scheduled to fly out to investigate Thursday afternoon.
Another tropical wave is moving west from the African coast, and it’s too soon to predict forecast tracks.
The system, located several hundred miles of Cabo Verde Islands at 2 p.m. Thursday, is forecast to “move quickly westward during the next several days,” the NHC said. It has a 40% chance of formation over five days and could become a tropical depression early next week.
The next named storm would be called Humberto.